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Tuesday, June 09, 2015

MOONSOON WATCH 

(09-June-2015)

Yesterday, the Southwest monsoon was further advanced into some more parts of central Arabian sea, entire Goa India, some parts of south Konkan India,and some more parts of south interior Karnataka India.
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 17.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, Lat.17.0°N/Long. 70.0°E, Ratnagiri, Shimoga,Mysuru, Salem, Cuddalore, Lat. 14.0°N/Long. 86.0°E, Lat. 16.0°N/Long. 90.0°E, Lat. 21.0°N /Long. 92.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N /Long.91.0°E, Dhubri and Gangtok.

Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea, and some more parts of centralBay of Bengal during next 2 days.


Chances remain at ‘High’ for the pre-monsoon activity in northern areas and adjoining central areas of Pakistan around June 13 (+1,-1 day error), a western disturbance is expected during that time period.

DURING NEXT 48 HOURS PRE-MOONSOON RAIN THUNDERSHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED AT SCATTERED PLACES IN SOUTH BALOCHISTAN (MAKRAN AND KALAT DIVISIONS), LOWER SINDH (KARACHI, HYDERABAD, MIRPURKHAS DIVISIONS.





(08-JUNE-2015)

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 13.0°N/Long. 60.0°E,
Lat.13.0°N/Long. 70.0°, Lat. 14.0°N/Long. 86.0°E, Lat. 16.0°N/Long.
90.0°E, Lat. 21.0°N /Long. 92.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N /Long. 91.0°E,

Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea &, some more parts of central Bay of Bengal during next 2 days.
The depression over east-central Arabian Sea has further intensified into deep depression and is rapidly gaining strength. Moreover, the cloud configuration is showing all the features of a tropical cyclone. In wake of this movement, the rainfall has reduced relatively along the west coast of India..
A well-marked cyclonic circulation is prevailing over coastal Andhra Pradesh (India), The weather activity is likely to continue for the next 24 hours


(06-JUNE-2015)
Southwest Monsoon has set in over Kerala( India )on the 5th June 2015 against the normal date of 1st June. Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest Monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea,
Karnataka(India), remaining parts of Tamilnadu(India), some parts of Rayalaseema (India)and, some more parts of central & north Bay of Bengal and southern parts of northeastern states during next 48 hours.

Pre-Moonsoon rains over Pakistan:



 Chances for the pre-monsoon activity over northeastern parts of Punjab  and around June 11 (+1,-1 day error), a western disturbance is expected during that time period.

In Arabian Sea, the broken clouds show an area of intense convection with a potential of development of a well-marked low pressure area over there which is now lying at a distance of 1575 km south of Pakistan.

Pre-monsoon rain in coastal including Karachi and adjoining south-eastern Sindh around from June 07/ (with -1, +2 day error) as few stray thunderclouds may form over coastal Pakistan and from June 08/June 09, chances of rain in Gwadar district.









MOONSOON WATCH (05-JUNE-2015)


Southwest Monsoon finally arrives in KeralaThe cyclonic circulation over southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep has become more marked. It seems to be invigorating the onset of Monsoon in Kerala. In view of the system, rainfall over Kerala has increased significantly. The flow of winds over southeast Arabian Sea are also becoming favourable.
Once a weather system comes up in the Arabian Sea, the onset process of Monsoon gets a boost. And, this time the cyclonic circulation over southeast Arabian Sea, off Kerala and Karnataka coast, has brought favourable conditions for the onset of Monsoon.


MOONSOON WATCH (02-June-2015)


According to PMD Pre-Monsoon showers are expected during second fortnight of JUNE and monsoon will attain its normal rhythm gradually towrad the end of July.According to different regional and global data set up monsoon rains will mainly concentrate in kashmir,Northeast Punjab and Upper KP.

As of now The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continue to pass through Lat 6.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, 6.0°N/Long. 70.0°E,Lat. 7.0°N/Long. 80.0°E, Lat. 10.0°N/Long. 86.0°E, Lat. 13.0°N /Long. 89.0°E and Lat. 18.0°N /Long. 95.0°E.

The onset date of Southwest Moonsoon over Kerala India is 5th June.

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