WEATHER REPORT FOR PAKISTAN (10-JUNE-2015)

Meteorological Analysis:

The cyclonic storm (ASHOBAA) over northwest Arabian sea and adjoining area moved westnorthwestwards during past 6 hours and lay centered at 0530 hours IST of 10th June 2015 near Lat.21.3°N and Long.62.1°E, about 600 km southwest of Karachi ,310 km southeast of Sur (Oman) and 470 km southeast of Muscat (Oman). The system would intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm, move westnorthwestwards during next 24 hours. Thereafter, the system would move westnorthwestwards to cross Oman coast between Latitude 21.5°N and Latitude 22.5°N south of Ras Al Hadd during the night of 11 June 2015.

The feeble western disturbance as an upper air trough in mid tropospheric level now runs roughly along

Longitude 76°E and north of Latitude 30°N.

Weather next 24 hrs:

Mainly very hot and dry weather is expected in most parts of the country. However, rain-thundershower with dust-storm is expected at isolated places in upper KP( Malakand, Hazara, Peshawar, Kohat, Mardan division), upper FATA, Islamabad, upper Punjab (Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Sarghodha divisions), Kalat, Makran divisions, Gilgit -Baltistan and Kashmir during Evening/Night. Dust raising winds with chances of rain are also expected at one or two places in Bahawalpur, Multan , D.G khan, Faisalabad, D.I khan, Quetta, Hyderabad, Larkana and Sukkur divisions during the period.

Under the influence of Cyclonic  Storm over Arabian Sea isolated rain/thundershowers of light to moderate intensity (10-20 mm) are expected in Thatta, Badin and Sujawal districts of Sindh during next 18 hrs. Scattered rain/thundershowers with isolated heavy falls are expected in southwest Balochistan (Pasni, Gwadar, Turbat, Kech and Jiwani) during next 36/48 hrs (with gradual increase in rainfall intensity from moderate to heavy). The sea conditions are likely to remain rough along Sindh coast and very rough along Makran coast (Pasni, Gwadar and Jiwani) accompanied with strong winds and maximum surge of 12-15 ft. Cyclone.

Weather for  next 48 hrs:

Rain-thundershower with gusty winds is expected at isolated places in upper KP( Malakand, Hazara, Peshawar, Kohat, Mardan division), upper FATA, Islamabad, upper Punjab (Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Sarghodha divisions),Gilgit -Baltistan and Kashmir.Hot and dry weather is expected elsewhere in the country.

Weather Observations Yesterday

 

Weather remained hot and dry in most parts of the country.However, rain-thundershower with gusty winds occurred at isolated places in Malakand, Zhob, Kalat divisions and Gilgit-Baltistan.

The amounts of rainfall recorded in MM yesterday were : Hunza 12, Pattan 10, Dir 04, Kalam, Zhob, Astore 03, Bunji, Mirkhani 02, Khuzdar, Skardu 01.

Yesterday, maximum temperatures were: Dadu 47°C, Bhakkar, Noorpur Thal 46°C, Kot addu, D.G.Khan 45°C, Sibbi, Bannu, D.I.Khan 44°C.

WEATHER REPORT FOR PAKISTAN (09-JUNE-2015)

Meteorological Analysis:

The cyclonic storm (ASHOBAA) over eastcentral Arabian sea has moved in a northnorthwesterlydirection and lay centered at 0530 hours PST of 9th June 2015 near Lat.20.0°N and Long.65.0°E, about 550 Km south of  Karachi and   830 km west of  640 km eastsoutheast of Sur (Oman) and 800 km eastsoutheast of Muscat (Oman). The system would move northnorthwestwards and intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hours and it would move northwestwards thereafter.

The feeble western disturbance as an upper air trough in mid tropospheric level now runs roughly alongLongitude 70°E and north of Latitude 25°N.

Weather next 24 hrs:

Mainly hot and dry weather is expected in most parts of the country. However, rain-thundershower is expected at isolated places of upper KP (Malakand, Hazara, Kohat divisions), upper Punjab (Sargodha, Rawalpindi, Lahore, Gujranwala divisions), Balochistan (Kalat, Makran, Quetta, Zhob divisions), Lower Sindh (Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Karachi divisions), Islamabad, Gilgit-Baltistan and Kashmir. Sea condition would be very rough to high along Sindh and Balochistan Coastal Areas.

Weather next 48 hrs:

Due Western Trough over North  Rain thundershower associated with strong gusty winds is expected at scattered places Islamabad, upper Punjab (Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Faisalabad, Sahiwal divisions), Hazara division, while at isolated places in Malakand, Peshawar, Kohat, D.I Khan divisions, upper FATA, Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan.Due to Cyclonic Stom ( Ashobaa ) Pre-Moonsoon Rain thundershower associated with strong gusty winds is expected at scattered places in South Balochistan (Makran and Kalat divisions), Lower Sindh (Karachi, Hyderabad, Mirpurkhas divisions).

Weather Observations Yesterday

 

Weather remained hot and dry in most parts of the country. However, rain-thundershower occurred in Gujranwala, Rawalpindi, Malakand divisions and Kashmir

The amounts of rainfall recorded in MM yesterday were :  Gujranwala=15, Rawalakot=14, Gujrat=13, Dir=9, Lower Dir=6, Mandibahauddin=6, Jhelum=4, Mangla=2, Kasur=1.

Yesterday, maximum temperatures were: Sibbi 47°C, Jaccobabad, Dadu, Bahawalnagar, D.G.Khan 46°C, Turbat, Shorkot, Sukkur, Rohri, R.Y.Khan 45°C.

WEATHER REPORT FOR PAKISTAN (08-JUNE-2015)

Meteorological Analysis:

A tropical cyclone in Arabian sea now lies 850 km south of Karachi and likely to move northwestwards during next 24 hours.A fresh feeble western disturbance would affect Western Himalayan region from 9th onwards 

Weather next 24 hrs:

Mainly hot and dry weather is expected in most parts of the country۔ However, rain-thundershower with dust storm is expected in Malakand, Hazara, Kalat, Makran, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Rawalpindi divisions, Islamabad, Gilgit-Baltistan, Kashmir and adjoining hilly areas during evening/night.

Weather Observations Yesterday

Weather remained hot and dry in most parts of the country, however, isolated rain-thundershower occurred in Hazara division and Kashmir.

The amounts of rainfall recorded in MM yesterday were : Pattan=22, Balakot,Rawalakot=8, Muzaffarabad=1.Yesterday, maximum temperatures were: Noorpurthal, Dadu, Sibbi, Moenjodaro, Larkana, R.Y.Khan 46°C, Sukkur, Rohri, Jacobabad, Turbat, Bhakkar, Kot Addu 45°C, Sh. Benazirabad, Mithi, Chhor, D.I.Khan, Bahawalpur 44°C.

 

WEATHER REPORT FOR PAKISTAN (06-JUNE-2015)

Meteorological Analysis:

The western disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining north

Pakistan extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level persists.

The trough of low over southeast Arabian sea and now seen as a low pressure (95A)

area over southeast Arabian sea and adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea. Associated upper air cyclonic circulation

extends upto 3.1 km above mean sea level.

Weather next 24 hrs:

Mainly hot and dry weather is expected in most parts of the country. However, rain-thundershower is expected at isolated places in Hazara, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Quetta, Kalat divisions, Gilgit-Baltistan and Kashmir during evening/night.Rise in day temperatures by 2-3°

C over plains of Punjab and Sindh during next 2 to 3 days.

Weather Observations Yesterday

Weather remained hot and dry in most parts of the country. However, rain-thundershower occurred at isolated places in Hazara, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, D.G Khan, Kalat, Quetta divisions, Parachinar, Islamabad, Gilgit-Baltistan and Kashmir

The amounts of rainfall recorded in MM yesterday were :

Abbottabad 32, Murree 18, Saidu Sharif 12, Rawalakot 08, Astore, Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Jhelum 06, Parachinar 05, Drosh 04, Mirkhani 01.

Yesterday, maximum temperatures were:

Dadu 44°C, Sibbi, Mirpurkhas, Kot Addu 42°C, Moenjodaro, Shaheed Benazirabad, Nokkundi, Larkana, Mithi, R.Y Khan, Turbat, Badin, Sukkur, Jaccobabad, Hyderabad, Rohri 41°C.

WEATHER REPORT FOR PAKISTAN (05-JUNE-2015)

Meteorological Analysis

The western disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan
extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level persists and adjoining areas and likely to persist during next 24 hours.The trough from this system upto south Pakistan extending between 3.1 km to 7.6 km above mean sea level also persists.

Weather next 24 hrs:

Mainly hot and dry weather is expected in most parts of the country. However, rain-thundershower associated with gusty wind is expected at isolated places of Malakand, Hazara, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, D.G Khan, Quetta, Zhob, Kalat divisions, Gilgit-Baltistan and Kashmir. Rise in day temperatures by 2-3°C over plains of Punjab and Sindh during next 2 to 3 days.

Weather Observations Yesterday

 Rain-thundershower with dust-storm occurred at scattered places in Sindh (Sukkur, Larkana, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad divisions), while at isolated paces in upper Punjab, Malakand, Hazara divisions, Kashmir and Gilgit-Baltistan. Weather remained hot and dry in other parts of the country

The amounts of rainfall recorded in MM yesterday were :

 Khuzdar=14, Parachinar=8, Lasbela=6, Astore=5, Skardu=5, Garhi Dupatta=4, Rawalakot=4, Murree=3, Pattan=2, Hunza=1, Gupis=1, Kalam=1, Lower Dir=1, Muzaffarabad=1.

Yesterday, maximum temperatures were Dadu, Dalbandin=41°C, Turbut, Lasbella, Panjgur, Chhor, Sibbi=40°C, Mirpurkhas, Bhakker=39°C.

 

 

WEATHER REPORT FOR PAKISTAN (04-JUNE-2015)

Significant weather

Thunderstorms have been observed at isolated places over Malakan,Hazara,Northeast Punjab,Gilgit Blatistan and Kashmir. Low/medium clouds are seen over rest parts of the country.

Meteorological Analysis

The western disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level persists. The trough from this system extends upto south

Pakistan between 5.8 km to 7.6 km above mean sea level also persists.

Weather next 24 hrs:

Rain-thundershower with gusty winds is expected at isolated places in northeast Punjab (Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore divisions), Hazara, Mirpurkhas, Kalat divisions, Islamabad, Kashmir and its adjoining hilly areas. Dust raising/gusty winds are also expected in Quetta, Kalat and Makran divisions during evening/night. No significant change in day temperatures over north Pakistan during next 24 hours and gradual rise thereafter.

Weather Observations Yesterday

As (Weather For Pakistan) Predicted on 2 june 2015. Rain/thundershowers occurred at many places over sindh and over isolated places of rest parts of country.

The amounts of rainfall recorded in MM yesterday were : Sukkur 50, Dadu 42, Rawalakot, Parachinar 41, Shaheed Benaziraba 37, Padidan 36, Murree 25, Diplo 23, Saidu Sharif 19, Mithi 16, Moen-jo-Daro 13, Dir 11, Hyderabad 08, Jacobabad, Lahore (A/P), Rohri 07, Garhi Dupatta, Larkana, Malamjabba 06, Mirkhani, Thatta 05, Astore, Barkhan, Muzaffarabad, Sargodha 04, Joharabad, Kakul, Jhang 03, Balakot, Noorpur Thal, Lower Dir, Mirpurkhas, Drosh, Pattan 02, Badin, Chakwal, Kotli, Mangla, Lahore (PBO), Kalam 01.

Yesterday, maximum temperatures were Turbat 46°C, Dadu 43°C, Sibbi, Hyderabad 42°C, Nokkundi, Rohri, R.Y.Khan, Moenjodaro, Lasbella, Mirpurkhas, Shaheed Benazirabad 41°C.

Tropical Storm Ashobaa Update....

10-June 2015 (10:00 AM)

Tropical Cyclone Ashobaa is expected to track westward over the next several days with a potential landfall in Oman.

The warm waters of the Arabian Sea will allow Ashobaa to strengthen through midweek, potentially reaching minimal hurricane intensity, though some weakening is then expected as Ashobaa closes in on Oman.

The heaviest rain and wind associated with the storm will remain over the open waters of the Arabian Sea through the middle of the week. However, seas will be rough for boaters and swimmers across the northern part of the sea.

09-JUNE-2015 (4:00 PM)

Weather experts have different opinion about ASHOBAA.From here there is no threat for any part of Pakistan.GEPS suggest that storm will continue to move N/W and then become stationary and fizzle out near Oman.

GFS suggest that Cyclone to maintain intensity and move NW and make landfall along the cost of Oman as a Cyclone on 11-June-2015.

09-JUNE-2015 (11:30 AM)

The cyclonic storm (ASHOBAA) over eastcentral Arabian sea has moved in a northnorthwesterlydirection and lay centered at 0530 hours PST of 9th June 2015 near Lat.20.0°N and Long.65.0°E, about 550 Km south of  Karachi and   830 km west of  640 km eastsoutheast of Sur (Oman) and 800 km eastsoutheast of Muscat (Oman). The system would move northnorthwestwards and intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hours and it would move northwestwards thereafter

The Arabian Sea coastline from Oman to Pakistan remains on alert for potential impacts later this week if Tropical Cyclone Ashobaa makes landfall.

The warm waters of the Arabian Sea will allow Ashobaa to strengthen through midweek, potentially reaching minimal hurricane intensity.

The heaviest rain and wind associated with the storm will remain over the open waters of the Arabian Sea during this time. However, seas will turn increasingly rough for boaters and swimmers across the northern part of the sea.

The circulation around the storm will also bring increased moisture to Costal areas of Pakistan from Karachi to Gawadar, leading to rounds of showers and thunderstorms," Some of the rain will be heavy and will unleash excessive downpours.

The cyclone will then face a battle with drier air as it moves northwestward toward the coast from northeastern Oman to southwestern Pakistan later this week. The result will determine if its flooding rain moves onshore.

(08-JUNE-2015) 3:30 pm


During the second half of the week, the cyclone will near the northern coast of the Arabian Sea. There is still some question as to the eventual path of the storm, but areas from near Karachi, Pakistan to Muscat, Oman should monitor the situation for updates.

If the tropical cyclone tracks into eastern Oman it could cause major flooding across the mountainous desert terrain." Flooding will also threaten areas along the southern coasts of Iran and Pakistan should the storm track farther to the east.Climatologically, tropical cyclones moving into the northern Arabian Sea dissipate rapidly due to the abundant dry and and lack of rich tropical moisture.once nearing the coast the cyclone should weaken trend as dry air wraps into the system.

(08-JUNE-2015) 3:00 pm

Cyclonic storm named Ashobaa is the first tropical storm of the pre-monsoon season in the Arabian Sea.The system is centered at 17.9°N and 67.2°E.t is moving north-northwestwards at a speed of 15 kmph and is punched with the wind speed of 75 kmph gusting up to 90 kmph.

A tropical cyclone in Arabian sea now lies 850 km south of Karachi and likely to move northwestwards during next 24 hours

08-JUNE-2015

The deep depression over east-central Arabian Sea has further intensified and 01A is now a Cyclone. Pressure 990mb. Moved NNW. Location 17.14N, 67.55E. Will be named in 4hrs.and rapidly gaining strength. and moved northnorthwestwards and lay centered at 0530 hours PST of 8th June 2015 near Lat.17.5°N and Long.67.5°E, about 1000km south of Karachi 590 km westsouthwest of Mumbai.

06-JUNE-2015

AS-1 prevails as a low in the Arabian Sea, at 11N and 67.6E and is expected to track N/NW next 24-36 hrs, and deepen from the current estimated core of 1002/1004 mb to 1000 mb. 
Currently in warm waters at 31c, after crossing 15N, it may run into competitively cooler waters at 29c, and then again NW into waters at 28c. Consequently, it may stagger at Well Marked Low or Depression Stage around North Arabian Sea and dissipate as a system by the 9th before hitting Land.

05-June-2015

GFS Models Showing 95A to move North and become a Cyclone by Monday, 8-Jun and reach near to South Pakistan Coastal areas.95 A Is expected to drift north and GFS models suggest a rapid intensification to cyclone by monday.

5 JUNE-2015

Weather experts across the world have different opinion about the system’s development and progress in Arabian sea. The weather models are not in agreement with each other, in terms of the cyclonic circulation’s track and strength. The system is making different  variations at the moment, in fact significant changes are taking place.

Currently we can say that the cyclonic circulation could strengthen into a depression and then subsequently to a tropical cyclone.

According to “Weather for Pakistan”, the cyclonic circulation is at a position and it could turn into a tropical storm and threaten Pakistan or Gujarat coast. Alternatively, the system could curve towards Oman after developing into a storm. f it develops into a storm.Due to cloudiness  rain thunder shower expected over costal areas of Sindh and Balochistan.  

Weather for Pakistan will give more updates,news Alerts.........

4-JUNE-2015

During pas 48 hours circulation over Arabian Sea now it is on and tracked as 95 A.As long as 95 A intensifying moving N/N/W.

Tropical storm over Arabian Sea?

3-June-2015

Yes there are chances of a tropical activity in the Arabian sea.According to few computer models, during the next week of June some thunderstorms would bring widespread monsoon rainfall to the west coast of India and from the same thunderstorms a deep depression or a cyclonic storm might form on Saturday (06 june 2015) that could move till coastal Gujarat and having some affect on costal Sindh and Balochistan during next week.

Cyclones in the Arabian sea form mostly from May till June and then from September till October, monsoon season plays a vital role for the formation of cyclone in this basin. Tropical storms that hit Pakistan are mostly remnants by the time reach Pakistan or make landfall in south eastern Sindh which is not very much populated they rarely move towards the Balochistan coast.

Cylones are very rare in this part of the world but the Arabian Sea does have some potential in giving birth to the strongest tropical cyclones of the north Indian ocean.

Weather for Pakistan will give more updates,news Alerts.........

MOONSOON WATCH 

(09-June-2015)

Yesterday, the Southwest monsoon was further advanced into some more parts of central Arabian sea, entire Goa India, some parts of south Konkan India,and some more parts of south interior Karnataka India.

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) passes through Lat. 17.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, Lat.17.0°N/Long. 70.0°E, Ratnagiri, Shimoga,Mysuru, Salem, Cuddalore, Lat. 14.0°N/Long. 86.0°E, Lat. 16.0°N/Long. 90.0°E, Lat. 21.0°N /Long. 92.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N /Long.91.0°E, Dhubri and Gangtok.

Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea, and some more parts of centralBay of Bengal during next 2 days.

Chances remain at ‘High’ for the pre-monsoon activity in northern areas and adjoining central areas of Pakistan around June 13 (+1,-1 day error), a western disturbance is expected during that time period.

DURING NEXT 48 HOURS PRE-MOONSOON RAIN THUNDERSHOWER ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED AT SCATTERED PLACES IN SOUTH BALOCHISTAN (MAKRAN AND KALAT DIVISIONS), LOWER SINDH (KARACHI, HYDERABAD, MIRPURKHAS DIVISIONS.

(08-JUNE-2015)

The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 13.0°N/Long. 60.0°E,

Lat.13.0°N/Long. 70.0°, Lat. 14.0°N/Long. 86.0°E, Lat. 16.0°N/Long.

90.0°E, Lat. 21.0°N /Long. 92.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N /Long. 91.0°E,

Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea &, some more parts of central Bay of Bengal during next 2 days.

The depression over east-central Arabian Sea has further intensified into deep depression and is rapidly gaining strength. Moreover, the cloud configuration is showing all the features of a tropical cyclone. In wake of this movement, the rainfall has reduced relatively along the west coast of India..

A well-marked cyclonic circulation is prevailing over coastal Andhra Pradesh (India), The weather activity is likely to continue for the next 24 hours

(06-JUNE-2015)

Southwest Monsoon has set in over Kerala( India )on the 5th June 2015 against the normal date of 1st June. Conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest Monsoon into some more parts of central Arabian Sea,

Karnataka(India), remaining parts of Tamilnadu(India), some parts of Rayalaseema (India)and, some more parts of central & north Bay of Bengal and southern parts of northeastern states during next 48 hours.

Pre-Moonsoon rains over Pakistan:

 Chances for the pre-monsoon activity over northeastern parts of Punjab  and around June 11 (+1,-1 day error), a western disturbance is expected during that time period.

In Arabian Sea, the broken clouds show an area of intense convection with a potential of development of a well-marked low pressure area over there which is now lying at a distance of 1575 km south of Pakistan.

Pre-monsoon rain in coastal including Karachi and adjoining south-eastern Sindh around from June 07/ (with -1, +2 day error) as few stray thunderclouds may form over coastal Pakistan and from June 08/June 09, chances of rain in Gwadar district.

MOONSOON WATCH (05-JUNE-2015)

Southwest Monsoon finally arrives in KeralaThe cyclonic circulation over southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep has become more marked. It seems to be invigorating the onset of Monsoon in Kerala. In view of the system, rainfall over Kerala has increased significantly. The flow of winds over southeast Arabian Sea are also becoming favourable.
Once a weather system comes up in the Arabian Sea, the onset process of Monsoon gets a boost. And, this time the cyclonic circulation over southeast Arabian Sea, off Kerala and Karnataka coast, has brought favourable conditions for the onset of Monsoon.

MOONSOON WATCH (02-June-2015)

According to PMD Pre-Monsoon showers are expected during second fortnight of JUNE and monsoon will attain its normal rhythm gradually towrad the end of July.According to different regional and global data set up monsoon rains will mainly concentrate in kashmir,Northeast Punjab and Upper KP.

As of now The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continue to pass through Lat 6.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, 6.0°N/Long. 70.0°E,Lat. 7.0°N/Long. 80.0°E, Lat. 10.0°N/Long. 86.0°E, Lat. 13.0°N /Long. 89.0°E and Lat. 18.0°N /Long. 95.0°E.

The onset date of Southwest Moonsoon over Kerala India is 5th June.